Challenge rules
Profit target, drawdowns, consistency, risk limits and what closes an account.
The rules are the same for every account size. The current values and your progress on each rule are shown on the account page.
| Rule | Value | What happens if broken |
|---|---|---|
| Profit target | +30% on the starting balance | — |
| Total drawdown | no lower than −20% from peak equity | account closes |
| Daily drawdown | no lower than −10% from equity at the start of the day (UTC) | account closes |
| Consistency | best day — no more than 30% of total profit | challenge isn't counted until it evens out |
| Per-outcome limit | no more than 5% of the starting balance | bet isn't accepted |
| Drawdown protection | the worst case doesn't push past the limit | bet isn't accepted |
| Activity | at least one trade every 14 days | account closes |
| Markets | event resolves within 2 days | market unavailable |
Important. Your account's terms — target, limits, profit share, payout rules — are fixed when you buy the challenge and carry over to the funded account unchanged. If we change a plan's terms, only new purchases are affected. The figures on this page are the current terms; your account's terms are shown in the app.
Equity
All limits are measured by equity: free balance plus open positions at the current market price. If the prices of your open positions fall, your equity drops — even before the event resolves.
Profit target
You need to grow your equity by +30% of the starting balance: on a $10,000 account, to $13,000. Once the target is reached and the consistency rule is met, the challenge gets the Passed status.
Total drawdown
Your equity must not fall to −20% from the highest level it has reached. The peak only moves up: on a $10,000 account that grew to $12,000, the minimum is $9,600.
Daily drawdown
Within one day (UTC, from 00:00), equity can't drop more than 10% from equity at the start of the day. Started the day at $10,500? The minimum for that day is $9,450.
Consistency
Consistency means your profit has to be earned over several days, not in one lucky day. It's how we tell forecasting skill apart from one big lucky bet.
The rule: your best day's profit may be at most 30% of the account's total profit.
How it's calculated: we add up the profit of all profitable days (UTC) and check what share of that total the best day makes up.
Example. Over five days you made $600, $100, $100, $100 and $100 — $1,000 in total. Your best day is $600, which is 60% of the profit, above the 30% limit. The challenge isn't counted as passed yet. For $600 to be no more than 30%, total profit has to grow to $2,000 — so you need to earn another $1,000 on other days.
This is not a breach: the account stays active, just keep trading — once the numbers even out, the challenge counts as passed. Funded accounts have the same rule with a 40% limit: it decides whether you can withdraw profit right now.
Per-outcome limit
The total of all bets on one outcome of one market is no more than 5% of the starting balance ($50 on a $1,000 account). Splitting a bet into small ones won't get around the limit: the total is what counts.
Drawdown protection
Before every bet, the system calculates the worst case: what happens if this bet and all open ones lose. If equity in that case falls to the drawdown limit, the bet isn't accepted. This protects you from closing the account with one series of bets. The bet panel shows in advance how much more you can bet.
Activity
If there's not a single trade for 14 days in a row, the account closes for inactivity. The countdown starts from your last trade — the time left is shown on the account page.
What happens when a rule is broken
The account closes immediately. Its page and the email show which rule triggered and at what numbers, for example: "equity $7,950 with a minimum of $8,000 — −20% from a peak of $10,000". The account's open positions play out until the event resolves, but that no longer affects the challenge result.
Tip. Keep a buffer to the daily limit: several simultaneous bets that lose at once are the most common reason an account closes.